Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs
afl · Friday 3 July, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Western Bulldogs $3.41
Sydney Swans $1.42
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Western Bulldogs | Sydney Swans | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.55+4.2% | $1.33-6.0% | 3.4% | — | 84.2 |
| 2 | Betfair Ex Uk | $3.55+4.2% | $1.33-6.0% | 3.4% | — | 71.9 |
| 3 | Neds | $3.30-3.1% | $1.33-6.0% | 5.5% | — | 60.4 |
| 4 | Casumo | $3.15-7.5% | $1.36-3.9% | 5.3% | — | 58.5 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $3.30-3.1% | $1.33-6.0% | 5.5% | — | 54.2 |
| 6 | Sportsbet | $3.30-3.1% | $1.34-5.3% | 4.9% | — | 51.5 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $3.15-7.5% | $1.36-3.9% | 5.3% | — | 48.5 |
| 8 | Paddypower | $3.25-4.6% | $1.33-6.0% | 6.0% | — | 41.2 |
| 9 | Grosvenor | $3.15-7.5% | $1.36-3.9% | 5.3% | — | 30.0 |
| 10 | Betr | $3.20-6.1% | $1.35-4.6% | 5.3% | — | 29.6 |
| 11 | TAB | $3.15-7.5% | $1.36-3.9% | 5.3% | — | 26.9 |
| 12 | Unibet | $3.05-10.5% | $1.36-3.9% | 6.3% | — | 9.6 |
| 13 | Draftkings | $3.10-9.0% | $1.34-5.3% | 6.9% | — | 0.0 |
| 14 | PlayUp | $3.05-10.5% | $1.36-3.9% | 6.3% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 14 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →