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Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions

AFL · Thursday 2 July, 9:30 am

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Fair market Geelong Cats $1.55 Brisbane Lions $2.82 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Geelong CatsBrisbane Lions MarginPromo EVScore · Value hunter
1 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $1.50-3.2% $2.92+3.6% 0.9% 87.8
2 Sportsbet $1.43-7.8% $2.83+0.4% 5.3% +9.9% Members 71.3
3 Betfair Ex Uk $1.550.0% $2.66-5.6% 2.1% 68.8
4 Dabble $1.46-5.8% $2.75-2.4% 4.9% 67.2
5 TAB $1.47-5.2% $2.70-4.2% 5.1% +9.9% Members 57.5
6 Bet Right $1.46-5.8% $2.72-3.5% 5.3% 51.6
7 PointsBet $1.42-8.4% $2.80-0.6% 6.1% 49.7
8 Neds $1.46-5.8% $2.70-4.2% 5.5% 46.6
9 Ladbrokes $1.46-5.8% $2.70-4.2% 5.5% 39.1
10 Paddypower $1.50-3.2% $2.62-7.0% 4.8% 36.3
11 TABtouch $1.49-3.9% $2.63-6.7% 5.1% 35.9
12 Betr $1.50-3.2% $2.60-7.7% 5.1% 29.7
13 Casumo $1.49-3.9% $2.60-7.7% 5.6% 16.3
14 PlayUp $1.48-4.5% $2.60-7.7% 6.0% 15.0
15 Grosvenor $1.49-3.9% $2.60-7.7% 5.6% 7.5
16 Unibet $1.48-4.5% $2.55-9.5% 6.8% 5.0
17 Draftkings $1.47-5.2% $2.60-7.7% 6.5% 0.0

Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 17 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →