Geelong Cats v Brisbane Lions
afl · Thursday 2 July, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Geelong Cats $1.57
Brisbane Lions $2.76
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Geelong Cats | Brisbane Lions | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Ex Uk | $1.55-1.2% | $2.66-3.6% | 2.1% | — | 71.9 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.55-1.2% | $2.66-3.6% | 2.1% | — | 70.4 |
| 3 | Neds | $1.45-7.6% | $2.75-0.3% | 5.3% | — | 66.2 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $1.45-7.6% | $2.75-0.3% | 5.3% | — | 60.0 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $1.46-6.9% | $2.75-0.3% | 4.9% | — | 53.8 |
| 6 | Paddypower | $1.50-4.4% | $2.62-5.0% | 4.8% | — | 53.8 |
| 7 | Casumo | $1.49-5.0% | $2.60-5.8% | 5.6% | — | 49.2 |
| 8 | TAB | $1.50-4.4% | $2.60-5.8% | 5.1% | — | 43.1 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $1.49-5.0% | $2.60-5.8% | 5.6% | — | 39.2 |
| 10 | Betr | $1.50-4.4% | $2.60-5.8% | 5.1% | — | 28.5 |
| 11 | Grosvenor | $1.49-5.0% | $2.60-5.8% | 5.6% | — | 20.8 |
| 12 | Unibet | $1.49-5.0% | $2.55-7.6% | 6.3% | — | 5.0 |
| 13 | PlayUp | $1.50-4.4% | $2.55-7.6% | 5.9% | — | 4.6 |
| 14 | Draftkings | $1.47-6.3% | $2.60-5.8% | 6.5% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 14 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →