Conor McGregor v Max Holloway
MMA · Sunday 12 July, 3:30 am
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Fair market
Max Holloway $1.49
Conor McGregor $3.04
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Max Holloway | Conor McGregor | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.37-8.0% | $3.60+18.3% | 0.2% | — | 87.0 |
| 2 | Betfair Ex Uk | $1.46-2.0% | $3.10+1.8% | 0.8% | — | 69.8 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $1.31-12.0% | $3.44+13.0% | 4.9% | — | 64.4 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $1.33-10.7% | $3.35+10.1% | 4.5% | — | 62.4 |
| 5 | PointsBet | $1.33-10.7% | $3.25+6.8% | 4.9% | — | 59.6 |
| 6 | Betonlineag | $1.47-1.3% | $2.85-6.4% | 3.1% | — | 54.6 |
| 7 | TAB | $1.32-11.4% | $3.40+11.7% | 4.9% | — | 53.2 |
| 8 | Livescorebet | $1.40-6.0% | $2.95-3.1% | 5.3% | — | 50.6 |
| 9 | Bovada | $1.44-3.3% | $2.85-6.4% | 4.5% | — | 47.2 |
| 10 | Bet Right | $1.37-8.0% | $3.10+1.8% | 5.0% | — | 46.6 |
| 11 | PlayUp | $1.30-12.7% | $3.50+15.0% | 5.5% | — | 45.6 |
| 12 | Williamhill Us | $1.42-4.7% | $3.00-1.4% | 3.8% | — | 44.6 |
| 13 | Sport888 | $1.40-6.0% | $2.95-3.1% | 5.3% | — | 43.4 |
| 14 | Neds | $1.44-3.3% | $2.85-6.4% | 4.5% | — | 41.2 |
| 15 | Unibet | $1.29-13.4% | $3.75+23.2% | 5.5% | — | 39.2 |
| 16 | Virginbet | $1.40-6.0% | $2.95-3.1% | 5.3% | — | 37.8 |
| 17 | Leovegas | $1.40-6.0% | $2.95-3.1% | 5.3% | — | 33.8 |
| 18 | Fanduel | $1.40-6.0% | $2.90-4.7% | 5.9% | — | 30.0 |
| 19 | Grosvenor | $1.40-6.0% | $2.95-3.1% | 5.3% | — | 29.8 |
| 20 | TABtouch | $1.29-13.4% | $3.75+23.2% | 5.5% | — | 29.6 |
| 21 | Betr | $1.43-4.0% | $2.80-8.0% | 5.6% | — | 28.8 |
| 22 | Williamhill | $1.40-6.0% | $2.90-4.7% | 5.9% | — | 13.6 |
| 23 | Matchbook | $1.40-6.0% | $2.82-7.4% | 6.9% | — | 11.2 |
| 24 | Betfair Sb Uk | $1.44-3.3% | $2.75-9.7% | 5.8% | — | 11.2 |
| 25 | Unibet Uk | $1.40-6.0% | $2.80-8.0% | 7.1% | — | 7.2 |
| 26 | Paddypower | $1.44-3.3% | $2.75-9.7% | 5.8% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 11 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 26 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →