Conor McGregor v Max Holloway
mma · Sunday 12 July, 3:30 am
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Fair market
Max Holloway $1.50
Conor McGregor $3.02
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Max Holloway | Conor McGregor | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.46-2.4% | $3.10+2.8% | 0.8% | — | 87.0 |
| 2 | Betfair Ex Uk | $1.46-2.4% | $3.10+2.8% | 0.8% | — | 82.6 |
| 3 | Bovada | $1.44-3.8% | $2.85-5.5% | 4.5% | — | 65.4 |
| 4 | Betonlineag | $1.47-1.7% | $2.85-5.5% | 3.1% | — | 63.0 |
| 5 | Livescorebet | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 62.0 |
| 6 | Neds | $1.44-3.8% | $2.85-5.5% | 4.5% | — | 55.0 |
| 7 | Unibet | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 53.6 |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | $1.44-3.8% | $2.85-5.5% | 4.5% | — | 49.8 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 49.6 |
| 10 | Fanduel | $1.40-6.4% | $2.90-3.8% | 5.9% | — | 48.2 |
| 11 | Williamhill Us | $1.42-5.1% | $3.00-0.5% | 3.8% | — | 45.8 |
| 12 | Sport888 | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 43.2 |
| 13 | Virginbet | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 36.0 |
| 14 | Bet Right | $1.45-3.1% | $2.75-8.8% | 5.3% | — | 36.0 |
| 15 | Leovegas | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 32.0 |
| 16 | Sportsbet | $1.40-6.4% | $2.88-4.5% | 6.2% | — | 29.6 |
| 17 | Grosvenor | $1.40-6.4% | $2.95-2.2% | 5.3% | — | 28.0 |
| 18 | Matchbook | $1.40-6.4% | $2.82-6.5% | 6.9% | — | 24.2 |
| 19 | Betfair Sb Uk | $1.44-3.8% | $2.75-8.8% | 5.8% | — | 23.2 |
| 20 | Betr | $1.45-3.1% | $2.65-12.1% | 6.7% | — | 22.8 |
| 21 | TAB | $1.47-1.7% | $2.70-10.5% | 5.1% | — | 20.8 |
| 22 | PointsBet | $1.42-5.1% | $2.80-7.1% | 6.1% | — | 20.6 |
| 23 | Williamhill | $1.40-6.4% | $2.90-3.8% | 5.9% | — | 20.2 |
| 24 | Unibet Uk | $1.40-6.4% | $2.80-7.1% | 7.1% | — | 20.2 |
| 25 | PlayUp | $1.45-3.1% | $2.75-8.8% | 5.3% | — | 18.8 |
| 26 | Paddypower | $1.44-3.8% | $2.75-8.8% | 5.8% | — | 2.4 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 26 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →