Bookies are gearing up for the upcoming Vatican conclave to elect a new Pope, with frontrunners and favorites emerging in the betting odds. Betting on conclaves has a long history, dating back to as early as 1503, showcasing the intersection of papal politics and gambling.
Despite the Vatican’s historical stance against financial speculation, the upcoming conclave on May 7 has sparked global interest, with bookies worldwide releasing odds on potential candidates. In the UK, even non-religious events like Formula 1 and the Europa League are being overshadowed by the anticipation surrounding the papal race.
One of the leading contenders is Cardinal Pietro Parolin, a prominent figure in the Catholic Church known for his diplomatic skills and close association with Pope Francis. His moderate stance and diplomatic background position him as a stable choice for the papacy, although he has faced controversies linked to child abuse claims and financial scandals within the Church.
Another frontrunner is Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle, a progressive voice advocating for social issues and LGBTQ+ rights. While admired for his approachability and forward-thinking views, Cardinal Tagle has also faced criticism for mishandling child abuse claims, tarnishing his reputation in the run-up to the conclave.
Cardinal Robert Sarah, an outspoken conservative figure in the Church, is also in the running, backed by the Church’s conservative wing. His traditional views on issues like LGBTQ+ rights and immigration set him apart from other candidates, making him a polarizing but influential contender.

Cardinal Peter Kodwo Appiah Turkson from Ghana represents Africa’s growing influence in the Catholic Church and is known for his advocacy for LGBTQ+ rights. Despite his progressive stance, Cardinal Turkson has faced accusations of islamophobia, highlighting the complexities surrounding his candidacy.
Hungarian Cardinal Peter Erdo, favored by conservative circles, brings a unique perspective shaped by his upbringing under communist rule. With ties to Orthodox churches and a history of conservative views on family and migration, Cardinal Erdo represents a compromise candidate with strong diplomatic skills.
Cardinal Matteo Zuppi, known for his progressive politics and diplomatic initiatives, is seen as a continuity candidate from Pope Francis. His efforts to bridge divides and advocate for marginalized communities have garnered support, although his close association with the current Pope may impact his chances.
Cardinal Pierbattista Pizzaballa, a native Italian with a global outlook, has gained attention for his diplomatic efforts in conflict zones like Jerusalem. His moderate views and multilingual skills make him a compelling candidate, although his relative youth and proximity to Pope Francis may pose challenges.

As the world awaits the outcome of the conclave and the selection of the next Pope, the interplay between tradition, progress, and geopolitics continues to shape the future of the Catholic Church. With diverse candidates vying for the pontificate, the outcome remains uncertain, adding an element of intrigue to this age-old process of papal succession.