Hawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers
AFL · Saturday 25 July, 6:15 am
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Fair market
Hawthorn Hawks $1.08
Essendon Bombers $13.21
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Hawthorn Hawks | Essendon Bombers | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.06-2.0% | $15.50+17.3% | 0.8% | — | 85.9 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $1.03-4.8% | $15.00+13.5% | 3.8% | — | 71.8 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $1.03-4.8% | $12.50-5.4% | 5.1% | +15.4% ⓘ | 60.0 |
| 4 | PlayUp | $1.02-5.7% | $14.00+6.0% | 5.2% | — | 54.5 |
| 5 | Bet Right | $1.03-4.8% | $13.00-1.6% | 4.8% | — | 50.9 |
| 6 | TABtouch | $1.03-4.8% | $12.50-5.4% | 5.1% | — | 45.0 |
| 7 | Dabble | $1.04-3.9% | $12.00-9.2% | 4.5% | — | 41.8 |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | $1.03-4.8% | $12.00-9.2% | 5.4% | — | 33.2 |
| 9 | TAB | $1.03-4.8% | $12.00-9.2% | 5.4% | +10.5% ⓘ | 25.5 |
| 10 | Neds | $1.03-4.8% | $12.00-9.2% | 5.4% | — | 9.1 |
| 11 | Betr | $1.04-3.9% | $11.00-16.7% | 5.2% | — | 2.7 |
| 12 | Unibet | $1.03-4.8% | $10.50-20.5% | 6.6% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 21 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →