Collingwood Magpies v Carlton Blues
AFL · Saturday 18 July, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Collingwood Magpies $1.72
Carlton Blues $2.38
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Collingwood Magpies | Carlton Blues | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAB | $1.65-4.2% | $2.25-5.7% | 5.1% | +10.5% ⓘ | 75.6 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.67-3.0% | $2.22-6.9% | 4.9% | +15.4% ⓘ | 75.6 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $1.66-3.6% | $2.20-7.7% | 5.7% | — | 45.6 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $1.64-4.8% | $2.20-7.7% | 6.4% | — | 42.2 |
| 5 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.52-11.7% | $2.18-8.6% | 11.7% | — | 41.1 |
| 6 | Betr | $1.60-7.1% | $2.30-3.6% | 6.0% | — | 37.8 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $1.61-6.5% | $2.30-3.6% | 5.6% | — | 30.0 |
| 8 | Neds | $1.64-4.8% | $2.20-7.7% | 6.4% | — | 24.4 |
| 9 | Unibet | $1.61-6.5% | $2.25-5.7% | 6.6% | — | 16.7 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $1.60-7.1% | $2.30-3.6% | 6.0% | — | 11.1 |
Scores computed 12 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →