Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints
AFL · Thursday 16 July, 9:30 am
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Fair market
St Kilda Saints $2.79
Geelong Cats $1.56
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | St Kilda Saints | Geelong Cats | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $2.72-2.6% | $1.46-6.3% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 73.9 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.70-3.3% | $1.53-1.8% | 2.4% | — | 65.6 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $2.70-3.3% | $1.46-6.3% | 5.5% | — | 57.8 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $2.70-3.3% | $1.47-5.6% | 5.1% | — | 50.0 |
| 5 | TAB | $2.60-6.9% | $1.50-3.7% | 5.1% | +9.9% Members | 45.6 |
| 6 | Betr | $2.75-1.5% | $1.43-8.2% | 6.3% | — | 35.6 |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | $2.55-8.7% | $1.50-3.7% | 5.9% | — | 30.6 |
| 8 | Neds | $2.55-8.7% | $1.50-3.7% | 5.9% | — | 15.0 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $2.70-3.3% | $1.45-6.9% | 6.0% | — | 13.3 |
| 10 | Unibet | $2.63-5.8% | $1.47-5.6% | 6.1% | — | 12.8 |
Scores computed 12 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →