Botafogo v Santos
SOCCER_INTL · Wednesday 22 July, 8:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.62
Santos $4.38
Botafogo $2.02
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Santos | Botafogo | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.30-8.9% | $4.33-1.1% | $1.91-5.3% | 5.8% | — | 73.9 |
| 2 | Betmgm | $3.30-8.9% | $4.33-1.1% | $1.91-5.3% | 5.8% | — | 63.3 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $3.70+2.1% | $4.00-8.7% | $1.86-7.8% | 5.8% | — | 61.7 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $3.25-10.3% | $4.25-3.0% | $1.90-5.8% | 6.9% | — | 45.6 |
| 5 | Coral | $3.30-8.9% | $4.33-1.1% | $1.91-5.3% | 5.8% | — | 37.8 |
| 6 | Neds | $3.25-10.3% | $4.25-3.0% | $1.90-5.8% | 6.9% | — | 34.4 |
| 7 | Paddypower | $3.50-3.4% | $3.80-13.2% | $1.80-10.8% | 10.4% | — | 31.1 |
| 8 | Betfair Sb Uk | $2.88-20.5% | $3.60-17.8% | $1.73-14.2% | 20.3% | — | 26.7 |
| 9 | Skybet | $3.25-10.3% | $3.50-20.1% | $1.75-13.2% | 16.5% | — | 15.6 |
| 10 | Fanduel | $3.60-0.7% | $3.90-11.0% | $1.83-9.3% | 8.1% | — | 10.0 |
Scores computed 18 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →