New Zealand Warriors v St George Illawarra Dragons
NRL · Saturday 18 July, 7:35 am
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Fair market
St George Illawarra Dragons $5.29
New Zealand Warriors $1.23
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | St George Illawarra Dragons | New Zealand Warriors | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $5.90+11.5% | $1.19-3.5% | 1.0% | — | 81.8 |
| 2 | Neds | $5.25-0.8% | $1.16-5.9% | 5.3% | — | 63.6 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $5.25-0.8% | $1.16-5.9% | 5.3% | +7.0% ⓘ | 60.9 |
| 4 | Betr | $5.15-2.7% | $1.17-5.1% | 4.9% | — | 51.8 |
| 5 | PlayUp | $5.00-5.5% | $1.17-5.1% | 5.5% | — | 43.2 |
| 6 | Dabble | $5.00-5.5% | $1.17-5.1% | 5.5% | +14.0% ⓘ | 40.5 |
| 7 | TAB | $5.00-5.5% | $1.17-5.1% | 5.5% | — | 38.6 |
| 8 | Sportsbet | $4.60-13.1% | $1.20-2.7% | 5.1% | +12.6% ⓘ | 37.3 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $4.75-10.2% | $1.19-3.5% | 5.1% | — | 37.3 |
| 10 | PointsBet | $5.00-5.5% | $1.16-5.9% | 6.2% | — | 18.2 |
| 11 | Bet Right | $4.90-7.4% | $1.18-4.3% | 5.2% | — | 11.8 |
| 12 | Unibet | $4.60-13.1% | $1.19-3.5% | 5.8% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 18 Jul 10:21 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →