Spain v Belgium
WORLDCUP · Friday 10 July, 7:00 pm
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Fair market
Spain $1.71
Belgium $5.84
Draw $4.08
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Spain | Belgium | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.67-2.5% | $6.20+6.2% | $4.10+0.4% | 0.4% | — | 90.0 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $1.63-4.8% | $5.50-5.8% | $4.00-2.1% | 4.5% | — | 73.3 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $1.61-6.0% | $5.70-2.4% | $3.90-4.5% | 5.3% | — | 58.9 |
| 4 | Unibet | $1.62-5.4% | $5.60-4.1% | $3.80-7.0% | 5.9% | — | 48.9 |
| 5 | Betr | $1.62-5.4% | $5.25-10.1% | $3.90-4.5% | 6.4% | — | 47.8 |
| 6 | TAB | $1.62-5.4% | $5.50-5.8% | $3.80-7.0% | 6.2% | — | 31.1 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $1.60-6.6% | $5.25-10.1% | $3.75-8.2% | 8.2% | — | 20.0 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $1.60-6.6% | $5.50-5.8% | $3.75-8.2% | 7.3% | — | 13.3 |
| 9 | Bet Right | $1.60-6.6% | $5.25-10.1% | $3.85-5.7% | 7.5% | — | 11.1 |
| 10 | Dabble | $1.60-6.6% | $5.25-10.1% | $3.75-8.2% | 8.2% | — | 5.6 |
Scores computed 7 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →