Brisbane Lions v Essendon Bombers
AFL · Sunday 12 July, 6:40 am
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Fair market
Essendon Bombers $17.15
Brisbane Lions $1.06
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Essendon Bombers | Brisbane Lions | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $34.00+98.2% | $1.02-3.9% | 0.0% | — | 84.0 |
| 2 | TAB | $17.00-0.9% | $1.02-3.9% | 3.9% | +9.9% Members | 73.0 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $21.00+22.4% | $1.01-4.9% | 3.8% | — | 68.0 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $17.00-0.9% | $1.02-3.9% | 4.7% | +9.9% Members | 54.5 |
| 5 | Neds | $16.00-6.7% | $1.02-3.9% | 4.3% | — | 43.0 |
| 6 | Ladbrokes | $16.00-6.7% | $1.02-3.9% | 4.3% | — | 36.0 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $16.00-6.7% | $1.01-4.9% | 5.3% | — | 33.5 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $14.00-18.4% | $1.02-3.9% | 5.2% | — | 23.5 |
| 9 | Unibet | $12.00-30.0% | $1.01-4.9% | 6.4% | — | 21.0 |
| 10 | Betr | $14.00-18.4% | $1.02-3.9% | 5.2% | — | 3.5 |
| 11 | TABtouch | $15.00-12.6% | $1.01-4.9% | 6.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 11 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →