Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks
AFL · Saturday 11 July, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Carlton Blues $2.41
Hawthorn Hawks $1.71
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Carlton Blues | Hawthorn Hawks | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.56+6.0% | $1.62-5.1% | 0.8% | — | 80.0 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $2.25-6.8% | $1.66-2.7% | 4.7% | — | 62.5 |
| 3 | Betr | $2.30-4.8% | $1.62-5.1% | 5.2% | — | 56.5 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $2.28-5.6% | $1.63-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 54.5 |
| 5 | TAB | $2.25-6.8% | $1.65-3.3% | 5.1% | +9.9% Members | 54.0 |
| 6 | PlayUp | $2.40-0.6% | $1.58-7.4% | 5.0% | — | 50.5 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $2.17-10.1% | $1.69-1.0% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 30.5 |
| 8 | Neds | $2.30-4.8% | $1.60-6.3% | 6.0% | — | 22.5 |
| 9 | Bet Right | $2.22-8.1% | $1.66-2.7% | 5.3% | — | 12.5 |
| 10 | Ladbrokes | $2.30-4.8% | $1.60-6.3% | 6.0% | — | 10.5 |
| 11 | Unibet | $2.18-9.7% | $1.63-4.5% | 7.2% | — | 6.0 |
Scores computed 11 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →