Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks
AFL · Saturday 11 July, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Carlton Blues $2.93
Hawthorn Hawks $1.52
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Carlton Blues | Hawthorn Hawks | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.88-1.7% | $1.50-1.2% | 1.4% | — | 68.0 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $2.90-1.1% | $1.42-6.4% | 4.9% | — | 66.5 |
| 3 | Neds | $2.90-1.1% | $1.42-6.4% | 4.9% | — | 48.5 |
| 4 | PointsBet | $2.80-4.5% | $1.44-5.1% | 5.2% | — | 47.5 |
| 5 | TABtouch | $2.80-4.5% | $1.43-5.8% | 5.6% | — | 45.5 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $2.75-6.2% | $1.45-4.5% | 5.3% | — | 41.5 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $2.66-9.2% | $1.48-2.5% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 36.5 |
| 8 | Betr | $2.75-6.2% | $1.45-4.5% | 5.3% | — | 31.5 |
| 9 | TAB | $2.75-6.2% | $1.45-4.5% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 29.5 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $2.90-1.1% | $1.40-7.8% | 5.9% | — | 27.0 |
| 11 | Unibet | $2.70-7.9% | $1.44-5.1% | 6.5% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 5 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →