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Collingwood Magpies v North Melbourne Kangaroos

AFL · Friday 10 July, 9:40 am

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Fair market North Melbourne Kangaroos $3.14 Collingwood Magpies $1.47 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie North Melbourne KangaroosCollingwood Magpies MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Sportsbet $2.97-5.4% $1.40-4.6% 5.1% +9.9% Members 61.4
2 Ladbrokes $3.10-1.2% $1.36-7.3% 5.8% 58.6
3 Betr $3.05-2.8% $1.38-6.0% 5.3% 58.6
4 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $3.05-2.8% $1.40-4.6% 4.2% 47.9
5 TAB $2.95-6.0% $1.40-4.6% 5.3% +9.9% Members 42.1
6 Neds $3.10-1.2% $1.36-7.3% 5.8% 37.1
7 PointsBet $2.85-9.2% $1.40-4.6% 6.5% 16.4
8 PlayUp $2.80-10.8% $1.42-3.2% 6.1% 0.0

Scores computed 5 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 8 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →