Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v North Queensland Cowboys
NRL · Sunday 12 July, 6:05 am
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Fair market
North Queensland Cowboys $2.86
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles $1.54
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | North Queensland Cowboys | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ladbrokes | $2.85-0.3% | $1.44-6.4% | 4.5% | +7.0% ⓘ | 78.2 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $2.85-0.3% | $1.42-7.7% | 5.5% | — | 53.6 |
| 3 | TAB | $2.70-5.6% | $1.47-4.4% | 5.2% | — | 50.9 |
| 4 | Dabble | $2.75-3.8% | $1.46-5.0% | 4.9% | +14.0% ⓘ | 50.9 |
| 5 | Neds | $2.85-0.3% | $1.44-6.4% | 4.5% | — | 50.0 |
| 6 | Sportsbet | $2.49-12.9% | $1.54+0.2% | 5.1% | +12.6% ⓘ | 35.5 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $2.85-0.3% | $1.43-7.0% | 5.4% | — | 33.6 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $2.70-5.6% | $1.47-4.4% | 5.2% | — | 30.0 |
| 9 | Unibet | $2.60-9.1% | $1.49-3.1% | 5.6% | — | 27.7 |
| 10 | TABtouch | $2.60-9.1% | $1.50-2.4% | 5.1% | — | 26.8 |
| 11 | Betr | $2.80-2.1% | $1.44-6.4% | 5.1% | — | 23.6 |
| 12 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.92+2.1% | $1.46-5.0% | 8.2% | — | 19.1 |
Scores computed 11 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →