Aryna Sabalenka v Jelena Ostapenko
TENNIS · Friday 3 July, 9:00 am
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Fair market
Jelena Ostapenko $4.26
Aryna Sabalenka $1.31
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Jelena Ostapenko | Aryna Sabalenka | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $4.50+5.6% | $1.26-3.6% | 1.6% | — | 85.5 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $4.45+4.4% | $1.21-7.4% | 5.1% | — | 81.5 |
| 3 | Unibet | $4.10-3.8% | $1.24-5.1% | 5.0% | — | 66.5 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $4.10-3.8% | $1.24-5.1% | 5.0% | — | 56.5 |
| 5 | PointsBet | $4.15-2.6% | $1.22-6.6% | 6.1% | — | 44.0 |
| 6 | Betr | $4.15-2.6% | $1.22-6.6% | 6.1% | — | 30.0 |
| 7 | Dabble | $3.85-9.7% | $1.26-3.6% | 5.3% | — | 24.0 |
| 8 | Neds | $3.80-10.8% | $1.26-3.6% | 5.7% | — | 23.5 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $3.80-10.8% | $1.26-3.6% | 5.7% | — | 16.5 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $3.85-9.7% | $1.25-4.3% | 6.0% | — | 14.0 |
| 11 | TAB | $3.80-10.8% | $1.24-5.1% | 7.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 2 Jul 10:22 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →