Paraguay v France
WORLDCUP · Saturday 4 July, 9:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $6.77
Paraguay $16.65
France $1.26
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Paraguay | France | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $7.40+9.2% | $20.00+20.1% | $1.21-4.1% | 1.2% | — | 75.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $7.00+3.3% | $17.00+2.1% | $1.17-7.3% | 5.6% | — | 66.9 |
| 3 | TABtouch | $6.75-0.3% | $16.00-3.9% | $1.17-7.3% | 6.5% | — | 50.6 |
| 4 | Dabble | $5.75-15.1% | $15.00-9.9% | $1.20-4.9% | 7.4% | — | 41.3 |
| 5 | TAB | $6.00-11.4% | $15.00-9.9% | $1.22-3.3% | 5.3% | — | 34.4 |
| 6 | PointsBet | $6.50-4.0% | $14.00-15.9% | $1.20-4.9% | 5.9% | — | 31.3 |
| 7 | Betr | $6.50-4.0% | $15.00-9.9% | $1.19-5.7% | 6.1% | — | 29.4 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $6.00-11.4% | $14.00-15.9% | $1.19-5.7% | 7.8% | — | 21.3 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $5.75-15.1% | $15.00-9.9% | $1.20-4.9% | 7.4% | — | 10.0 |
Scores computed 1 Jul 10:24 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 9 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →