Lucas Roehrig v Connal McDonald
BOXING · Saturday 7 November, 7:05 pm
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Fair market
Connal McDonald $10.87
Lucas Roehrig $1.13
Draw $25.49
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Connal McDonald | Lucas Roehrig | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $12.50+15.0% | $1.06-6.1% | $29.00+13.8% | 5.8% | — | 87.5 |
| 2 | TABtouch | $11.00+1.2% | $1.06-6.1% | $23.00-9.8% | 7.8% | — | 59.2 |
| 3 | Bet Right | $11.00+1.2% | $1.04-7.9% | — | 5.2% | — | 42.5 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $10.00-8.0% | $1.06-6.1% | $21.00-17.6% | 9.1% | — | 35.8 |
| 5 | Betr | $9.25-14.9% | $1.04-7.9% | — | 7.0% | — | 27.5 |
| 6 | Unibet | $11.00+1.2% | $1.06-6.1% | $23.00-9.8% | 7.8% | — | 24.2 |
| 7 | Picklebet Au | $7.50-31.0% | $1.03-8.8% | — | 10.4% | — | 3.3 |
Scores computed 6 Nov 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 7 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →