Penrith Panthers v Newcastle Knights
NRL · Sunday 27 September, 6:05 am
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Fair market
Newcastle Knights $3.69
Penrith Panthers $1.37
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Newcastle Knights | Penrith Panthers | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betr | $4.00+8.3% | $1.25-8.8% | 5.0% | — | 67.0 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $3.80+2.8% | $1.28-6.6% | 4.4% | +9.9% Members | 59.0 |
| 3 | PlayUp | $4.00+8.3% | $1.25-8.8% | 5.0% | — | 53.0 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $3.95+6.9% | $1.25-8.8% | 5.3% | — | 43.5 |
| 5 | TAB | $4.00+8.3% | $1.25-8.8% | 5.0% | — | 43.0 |
| 6 | Sportsbet | $3.70+0.1% | $1.28-6.6% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 36.5 |
| 7 | Neds | $3.80+2.8% | $1.28-6.6% | 4.4% | — | 35.0 |
| 8 | Unibet | $3.85+4.2% | $1.25-8.8% | 6.0% | — | 33.5 |
| 9 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.02-45.3% | $1.25-8.8% | 29.5% | — | 24.0 |
| 10 | PointsBet | $3.75+1.5% | $1.27-7.4% | 5.4% | — | 23.0 |
| 11 | Dabble | $3.60-2.6% | $1.28-6.6% | 5.9% | +9.9% Members | 22.5 |
Scores computed 20 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →