Liam Davies v Nathaniel Collins
BOXING · Saturday 26 September, 9:15 pm
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Fair market
Nathaniel Collins $4.05
Liam Davies $1.40
Draw $16.51
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Nathaniel Collins | Liam Davies | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $3.70-8.7% | $1.33-5.2% | $17.00+3.0% | 8.1% | — | 68.8 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $4.00-1.3% | $1.29-8.0% | $15.00-9.1% | 9.2% | — | 43.8 |
| 3 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.75-7.5% | $1.34-4.5% | $15.00-9.1% | 8.0% | — | 37.5 |
| 4 | Bet Right | $3.85-5.0% | $1.26-10.2% | — | 5.3% | — | 27.5 |
| 5 | Betr | $3.70-8.7% | $1.25-10.9% | — | 7.0% | — | 22.5 |
Scores computed 20 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 5 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →