New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights
NRL · Saturday 19 September, 6:05 am
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Fair market
New Zealand Warriors $1.53
Newcastle Knights $2.87
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | New Zealand Warriors | Newcastle Knights | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PointsBet | $1.45-5.5% | $2.75-4.2% | 5.3% | — | 76.7 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $1.45-5.5% | $2.75-4.2% | 5.3% | +7.0% ⓘ | 75.0 |
| 3 | Betr | $1.47-4.2% | $2.70-5.9% | 5.1% | — | 41.7 |
| 4 | Neds | $1.45-5.5% | $2.75-4.2% | 5.3% | — | 35.0 |
| 5 | Unibet | $1.45-5.5% | $2.70-5.9% | 6.0% | — | 35.0 |
| 6 | TAB | $1.47-4.2% | $2.70-5.9% | 5.1% | — | 18.3 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $1.45-5.5% | $2.70-5.9% | 6.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 12 Sep 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 7 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →