Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows
AFL · Saturday 12 September, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Brisbane Lions $1.42
Adelaide Crows $3.38
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Brisbane Lions | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.37-3.5% | $3.65+8.0% | 0.4% | — | 73.6 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.37-3.5% | $3.14-7.1% | 4.8% | +15.4% ⓘ | 68.2 |
| 3 | TAB | $1.35-4.9% | $3.25-3.8% | 4.8% | +10.5% ⓘ | 66.4 |
| 4 | Dabble | $1.33-6.3% | $3.20-5.3% | 6.4% | — | 43.6 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $1.35-4.9% | $3.20-5.3% | 5.3% | — | 40.0 |
| 6 | Unibet | $1.36-4.2% | $3.05-9.8% | 6.3% | — | 38.2 |
| 7 | Betr | $1.35-4.9% | $3.25-3.8% | 4.8% | — | 36.4 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $1.34-5.6% | $3.15-6.8% | 6.4% | — | 28.2 |
| 9 | PointsBet | $1.36-4.2% | $3.10-8.3% | 5.8% | — | 27.3 |
| 10 | Neds | $1.35-4.9% | $3.20-5.3% | 5.3% | — | 24.5 |
| 11 | PlayUp | $1.35-4.9% | $3.15-6.8% | 5.8% | — | 22.7 |
| 12 | Bet Right | $1.36-4.2% | $3.15-6.8% | 5.3% | — | 10.9 |
Scores computed 7 Sep 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →