Geelong Cats v Carlton Blues
AFL · Friday 4 September, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Carlton Blues $2.40
Geelong Cats $1.71
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Carlton Blues | Geelong Cats | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $2.31-3.9% | $1.62-5.4% | 5.0% | +9.9% Members | 76.1 |
| 2 | TAB | $2.30-4.3% | $1.62-5.4% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 66.7 |
| 3 | Bet Right | $2.30-4.3% | $1.62-5.4% | 5.2% | — | 62.2 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.34-2.7% | $1.67-2.5% | 2.6% | — | 52.2 |
| 5 | Betr | $2.30-4.3% | $1.62-5.4% | 5.2% | — | 43.3 |
| 6 | Neds | $2.30-4.3% | $1.62-5.4% | 5.2% | — | 36.7 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $2.30-4.3% | $1.60-6.6% | 6.0% | — | 26.7 |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | $2.30-4.3% | $1.62-5.4% | 5.2% | — | 21.1 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $2.25-6.4% | $1.65-3.6% | 5.1% | — | 16.1 |
| 10 | Unibet | $2.20-8.5% | $1.64-4.2% | 6.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 30 Aug 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →