Argentina v Cape Verde
soccer_world_cup · Friday 3 July, 10:00 pm
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Fair market
Cape Verde $20.68
Argentina $1.20
Draw $8.46
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Cape Verde | Argentina | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Ex Uk | $26.00+25.8% | $1.16-3.3% | $9.40+11.1% | 0.7% | — | 82.2 |
| 2 | Matchbook | $26.00+25.8% | $1.16-3.3% | $9.20+8.7% | 0.9% | — | 81.2 |
| 3 | Betrivers | $25.00+20.9% | $1.11-7.5% | $9.50+12.3% | 4.6% | — | 80.8 |
| 4 | Smarkets | $25.00+20.9% | $1.15-4.2% | $9.20+8.7% | 1.8% | — | 79.1 |
| 5 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $26.00+25.8% | $1.16-3.3% | $9.40+11.1% | 0.7% | — | 74.6 |
| 6 | Unibet | $25.00+20.9% | $1.11-7.5% | $9.00+6.4% | 5.2% | — | 73.2 |
| 7 | Grosvenor | $25.00+20.9% | $1.11-7.5% | $9.50+12.3% | 4.6% | — | 63.2 |
| 8 | Betus | $19.11-7.6% | $1.16-3.3% | $8.35-1.3% | 3.4% | — | 60.1 |
| 9 | Livescorebet | $23.00+11.2% | $1.10-8.3% | $9.00+6.4% | 6.4% | — | 53.9 |
| 10 | Leovegas | $25.00+20.9% | $1.11-7.5% | $9.50+12.3% | 4.6% | — | 50.8 |
| 11 | Sportsbet | $21.00+1.6% | $1.12-6.7% | $8.50+0.5% | 5.8% | — | 48.9 |
| 12 | Fanduel | $20.00-3.3% | $1.12-6.7% | $8.00-5.4% | 6.8% | — | 47.3 |
| 13 | Williamhill | $19.00-8.1% | $1.15-4.2% | $7.00-17.3% | 6.5% | — | 46.1 |
| 14 | Paddypower | $19.00-8.1% | $1.11-7.5% | $8.50+0.5% | 7.1% | — | 45.8 |
| 15 | Skybet | $17.00-17.8% | $1.13-5.8% | $8.00-5.4% | 6.9% | — | 44.2 |
| 16 | TABtouch | $23.00+11.2% | $1.10-8.3% | $9.00+6.4% | 6.4% | — | 42.8 |
| 17 | Casumo | $25.00+20.9% | $1.11-7.5% | $9.50+12.3% | 4.6% | — | 42.7 |
| 18 | Coral | $17.00-17.8% | $1.17-2.5% | $8.00-5.4% | 3.9% | — | 41.5 |
| 19 | Draftkings | $19.00-8.1% | $1.15-4.2% | $8.00-5.4% | 4.7% | — | 40.3 |
| 20 | TAB | $21.00+1.6% | $1.16-3.3% | $6.50-23.2% | 6.4% | — | 39.1 |
| 21 | Betonlineag | $19.26-6.8% | $1.16-3.3% | $8.47+0.1% | 3.2% | — | 39.1 |
| 22 | Virginbet | $23.00+11.2% | $1.10-8.3% | $9.00+6.4% | 6.4% | — | 38.5 |
| 23 | PointsBet | $19.00-8.1% | $1.14-5.0% | $7.50-11.4% | 6.3% | — | 36.1 |
| 24 | Betfred Uk | $17.00-17.8% | $1.17-2.5% | $7.50-11.4% | 4.7% | — | 29.6 |
| 25 | Fanatics | $19.00-8.1% | $1.13-5.8% | $8.00-5.4% | 6.3% | — | 29.1 |
| 26 | PlayUp | $19.00-8.1% | $1.15-4.2% | $6.75-20.2% | 7.0% | — | 28.2 |
| 27 | Unibet Uk | $18.00-12.9% | $1.15-4.2% | $7.00-17.3% | 6.8% | — | 27.7 |
| 28 | Ladbrokes Uk | $15.00-27.5% | $1.15-4.2% | $8.00-5.4% | 6.1% | — | 23.0 |
| 29 | Bovada | $17.00-17.8% | $1.16-3.3% | $8.00-5.4% | 4.6% | — | 21.5 |
| 30 | Betway | $13.00-37.1% | $1.14-5.0% | $8.00-5.4% | 7.9% | — | 21.1 |
| 31 | Betr | $17.00-17.8% | $1.15-4.2% | $7.25-14.3% | 6.6% | — | 17.3 |
| 32 | Dabble | $19.00-8.1% | $1.15-4.2% | $6.50-23.2% | 7.6% | — | 15.1 |
| 33 | Bet Right | $16.00-22.6% | $1.15-4.2% | $7.00-17.3% | 7.5% | — | 14.7 |
| 34 | Betmgm | $16.00-22.6% | $1.16-3.3% | $7.75-8.4% | 5.4% | — | 14.1 |
| 35 | Boylesports | $19.00-8.1% | $1.14-5.0% | $7.00-17.3% | 7.3% | — | 13.4 |
| 36 | Sport888 | $19.00-8.1% | $1.14-5.0% | $7.00-17.3% | 7.3% | — | 9.3 |
| 37 | Mybookieag | $17.25-16.6% | $1.16-3.3% | $7.20-14.9% | 5.9% | — | 7.6 |
| 38 | Williamhill Us | $16.00-22.6% | $1.15-4.2% | $7.50-11.4% | 6.5% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 38 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →