Belgium v Senegal
WORLDCUP · Wednesday 1 July, 8:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.37
Senegal $3.82
Belgium $2.26
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Senegal | Belgium | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.30-2.1% | $3.70-3.2% | $2.32+2.5% | 0.4% | — | 79.3 |
| 2 | Smarkets | $3.25-3.6% | $3.90+2.0% | $2.24-1.1% | 1.1% | — | 75.9 |
| 3 | Matchbook | $3.25-3.6% | $3.90+2.0% | $2.26-0.2% | 0.7% | — | 74.9 |
| 4 | Betfair Ex Uk | $3.25-3.6% | $3.90+2.0% | $2.26-0.2% | 0.7% | — | 72.2 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $3.20-5.0% | $3.85+0.7% | $2.08-8.1% | 5.3% | — | 69.7 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.10-8.0% | $3.50-8.4% | $2.23-1.5% | 5.7% | — | 63.0 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $3.15-6.5% | $3.50-8.4% | $2.20-2.8% | 5.8% | — | 60.7 |
| 8 | Grosvenor | $3.20-5.0% | $3.85+0.7% | $2.08-8.1% | 5.3% | — | 56.6 |
| 9 | Draftkings | $3.30-2.1% | $3.75-1.9% | $2.10-7.3% | 4.6% | — | 55.9 |
| 10 | Betonlineag | $3.25-3.6% | $3.68-3.7% | $2.20-2.8% | 3.4% | — | 52.2 |
| 11 | Fanduel | $3.10-8.0% | $3.70-3.2% | $2.15-5.1% | 5.8% | — | 50.8 |
| 12 | Betfred Uk | $3.25-3.6% | $3.75-1.9% | $2.10-7.3% | 5.1% | — | 50.5 |
| 13 | PointsBet | $3.30-2.1% | $3.40-11.0% | $2.15-5.1% | 6.2% | — | 50.1 |
| 14 | Leovegas | $3.20-5.0% | $3.85+0.7% | $2.08-8.1% | 5.3% | — | 48.7 |
| 15 | Coral | $3.25-3.6% | $3.70-3.2% | $2.10-7.3% | 5.4% | — | 48.0 |
| 16 | Unibet Uk | $3.20-5.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.10-7.3% | 6.6% | — | 41.6 |
| 17 | Casumo | $3.20-5.0% | $3.85+0.7% | $2.08-8.1% | 5.3% | — | 40.8 |
| 18 | TAB | $3.20-5.0% | $3.30-13.7% | $2.20-2.8% | 7.0% | — | 40.0 |
| 19 | Skybet | $3.10-8.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.15-5.1% | 6.5% | — | 39.2 |
| 20 | Dabble | $3.25-3.6% | $3.30-13.7% | $2.20-2.8% | 6.5% | — | 39.2 |
| 21 | Betr | $3.25-3.6% | $3.40-11.0% | $2.15-5.1% | 6.7% | — | 38.3 |
| 22 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.20-5.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.10-7.3% | 6.6% | — | 37.9 |
| 23 | Bet Right | $3.25-3.6% | $3.35-12.4% | $2.15-5.1% | 7.1% | — | 36.8 |
| 24 | TABtouch | $3.05-9.5% | $3.45-9.7% | $2.20-2.8% | 7.2% | — | 33.0 |
| 25 | Bovada | $3.25-3.6% | $3.70-3.2% | $2.10-7.3% | 5.4% | — | 32.5 |
| 26 | Paddypower | $3.10-8.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.15-5.1% | 6.5% | — | 32.4 |
| 27 | Mybookieag | $3.20-5.0% | $3.65-4.5% | $2.11-6.8% | 6.0% | — | 30.3 |
| 28 | PlayUp | $3.20-5.0% | $3.30-13.7% | $2.15-5.1% | 8.1% | — | 28.8 |
| 29 | Fanatics | $3.20-5.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.10-7.3% | 6.6% | — | 27.9 |
| 30 | Livescorebet | $3.10-8.0% | $3.75-1.9% | $2.05-9.5% | 7.7% | — | 24.3 |
| 31 | Betmgm | $3.20-5.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.10-7.3% | 6.6% | — | 23.2 |
| 32 | Williamhill | $3.10-8.0% | $3.50-8.4% | $2.10-7.3% | 8.4% | — | 22.9 |
| 33 | Betway | $3.10-8.0% | $3.50-8.4% | $2.10-7.3% | 8.4% | — | 17.9 |
| 34 | Boylesports | $3.25-3.6% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.05-9.5% | 7.3% | — | 17.8 |
| 35 | Betvictor | $3.20-5.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.10-7.3% | 6.6% | — | 17.4 |
| 36 | Virginbet | $3.10-8.0% | $3.75-1.9% | $2.05-9.5% | 7.7% | — | 15.4 |
| 37 | Williamhill Us | $3.20-5.0% | $3.60-5.8% | $2.09-7.7% | 6.9% | — | 12.1 |
| 38 | Betfair Sb Uk | $2.70-19.9% | $3.30-13.7% | $2.00-11.7% | 17.3% | — | 3.7 |
| 39 | Sport888 | $3.10-8.0% | $3.50-8.4% | $2.10-7.3% | 8.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 39 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →