Belgium v Senegal
soccer_world_cup · Wednesday 1 July, 8:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.36
Senegal $3.89
Belgium $2.25
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Senegal | Belgium | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | $3.25-3.3% | $3.90+0.3% | $2.24-0.3% | 1.1% | — | 84.2 |
| 2 | Matchbook | $3.25-3.3% | $3.90+0.3% | $2.26+0.6% | 0.7% | — | 83.5 |
| 3 | Betfair Ex Uk | $3.25-3.3% | $3.90+0.3% | $2.26+0.6% | 0.7% | — | 80.8 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.25-3.3% | $3.90+0.3% | $2.26+0.6% | 0.7% | — | 76.6 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $3.20-4.7% | $3.85-1.0% | $2.08-7.4% | 5.3% | — | 76.2 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.15-6.2% | $3.85-1.0% | $2.07-7.9% | 6.0% | — | 65.8 |
| 7 | Grosvenor | $3.20-4.7% | $3.85-1.0% | $2.08-7.4% | 5.3% | — | 59.7 |
| 8 | Draftkings | $3.30-1.8% | $3.75-3.5% | $2.10-6.5% | 4.6% | — | 59.6 |
| 9 | Fanduel | $3.10-7.7% | $3.70-4.8% | $2.15-4.3% | 5.8% | — | 55.5 |
| 10 | Betfred Uk | $3.25-3.3% | $3.75-3.5% | $2.10-6.5% | 5.1% | — | 53.6 |
| 11 | Betonlineag | $3.25-3.3% | $3.68-5.3% | $2.20-2.1% | 3.4% | — | 52.3 |
| 12 | Coral | $3.25-3.3% | $3.70-4.8% | $2.10-6.5% | 5.4% | — | 52.2 |
| 13 | Sportsbet | $3.10-7.7% | $3.70-4.8% | $2.20-2.1% | 4.7% | — | 51.8 |
| 14 | Unibet Uk | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.10-6.5% | 6.6% | — | 48.9 |
| 15 | Skybet | $3.10-7.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.15-4.3% | 6.5% | — | 47.3 |
| 16 | Leovegas | $3.20-4.7% | $3.85-1.0% | $2.08-7.4% | 5.3% | — | 47.0 |
| 17 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.10-6.5% | 6.6% | — | 43.0 |
| 18 | Paddypower | $3.10-7.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.15-4.3% | 6.5% | — | 39.5 |
| 19 | Casumo | $3.20-4.7% | $3.85-1.0% | $2.08-7.4% | 5.3% | — | 38.9 |
| 20 | Betr | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.10-6.5% | 6.6% | — | 38.1 |
| 21 | Williamhill | $3.10-7.7% | $3.50-10.0% | $2.10-6.5% | 8.4% | — | 32.6 |
| 22 | Bovada | $3.25-3.3% | $3.70-4.8% | $2.10-6.5% | 5.4% | — | 31.6 |
| 23 | Livescorebet | $3.10-7.7% | $3.75-3.5% | $2.05-8.8% | 7.7% | — | 30.9 |
| 24 | Betway | $3.10-7.7% | $3.50-10.0% | $2.10-6.5% | 8.4% | — | 27.4 |
| 25 | Mybookieag | $3.20-4.7% | $3.65-6.1% | $2.11-6.1% | 6.0% | — | 27.3 |
| 26 | Fanatics | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.10-6.5% | 6.6% | — | 26.5 |
| 27 | Bet Right | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.05-8.8% | 7.8% | — | 25.0 |
| 28 | TAB | $3.20-4.7% | $3.40-12.5% | $2.15-4.3% | 7.2% | — | 23.6 |
| 29 | Betmgm | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.10-6.5% | 6.6% | — | 21.6 |
| 30 | PlayUp | $3.15-6.2% | $3.40-12.5% | $2.12-5.6% | 8.3% | — | 20.3 |
| 31 | TABtouch | $3.10-7.7% | $3.75-3.5% | $2.05-8.8% | 7.7% | — | 18.8 |
| 32 | Boylesports | $3.25-3.3% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.05-8.8% | 7.3% | — | 18.5 |
| 33 | Betvictor | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.10-6.5% | 6.6% | — | 15.7 |
| 34 | Virginbet | $3.10-7.7% | $3.75-3.5% | $2.05-8.8% | 7.7% | — | 14.5 |
| 35 | Dabble | $3.10-7.7% | $3.40-12.5% | $2.15-4.3% | 8.2% | — | 12.2 |
| 36 | Williamhill Us | $3.20-4.7% | $3.60-7.4% | $2.09-7.0% | 6.9% | — | 11.9 |
| 37 | Betfair Sb Uk | $2.70-19.6% | $3.30-15.1% | $2.00-11.0% | 17.3% | — | 7.6 |
| 38 | Sport888 | $3.10-7.7% | $3.50-10.0% | $2.10-6.5% | 8.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 38 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →