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Paddy Pimblett v Benoit Saint-Denis

mma · Sunday 12 July, 2:45 am

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Fair market Paddy Pimblett $2.39 Benoit Saint-Denis $1.72 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Paddy PimblettBenoit Saint-Denis MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Bovada $2.30-3.8% $1.67-2.9% 3.4% 87.6
2 Draftkings $2.30-3.8% $1.65-4.0% 4.1% 67.6
3 Betonlineag $2.31-3.3% $1.66-3.5% 3.5% 66.7
4 Fanduel $2.42+1.3% $1.54-10.4% 6.3% 58.6
5 Neds $2.20-7.9% $1.68-2.3% 5.0% 58.1
6 Ladbrokes $2.20-7.9% $1.68-2.3% 5.0% 51.9
7 Betfair Sb Uk $2.38-0.4% $1.57-8.7% 5.7% 51.4
8 PointsBet $2.25-5.9% $1.65-4.0% 5.1% 47.1
9 Bet Right $2.24-6.3% $1.65-4.0% 5.2% 47.1
10 Sportsbet $2.40+0.4% $1.55-9.9% 6.2% 42.9
11 Williamhill Us $2.22-7.1% $1.69-1.7% 4.2% 42.9
12 Livescorebet $2.25-5.9% $1.64-4.6% 5.4% 41.7
13 Sport888 $2.25-5.9% $1.65-4.0% 5.1% 36.7
14 Paddypower $2.38-0.4% $1.57-8.7% 5.7% 30.5
15 Unibet $2.25-5.9% $1.64-4.6% 5.4% 29.8
16 Betr $2.25-5.9% $1.63-5.2% 5.8% 28.1
17 TABtouch $2.25-5.9% $1.64-4.6% 5.4% 25.0
18 Unibet Uk $2.20-7.9% $1.61-6.4% 7.6% 21.9
19 Virginbet $2.25-5.9% $1.64-4.6% 5.4% 15.5
20 TAB $2.20-7.9% $1.67-2.9% 5.3% 12.4
21 Leovegas $2.25-5.9% $1.64-4.6% 5.4% 10.7
22 Grosvenor $2.25-5.9% $1.64-4.6% 5.4% 6.0

Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 22 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →