Liam Messam v Luke Siaki
BOXING · Saturday 8 August, 6:30 am
Also across our network: fixtures, tips and match previews.
Fair market
Luke Siaki $5.31
Liam Messam $1.29
Draw $12.84
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Luke Siaki | Liam Messam | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $4.80-9.6% | $1.22-5.7% | $17.00+32.4% | 8.7% | — | 70.0 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $5.50+3.6% | $1.25-3.4% | $9.00-29.9% | 9.3% | — | 41.7 |
| 3 | Bet Right | $4.90-7.7% | $1.18-8.8% | — | 5.2% | — | 35.0 |
| 4 | Betr | $4.65-12.4% | $1.17-9.6% | — | 7.0% | — | 13.3 |
Scores computed 7 Aug 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
More on this match across our network
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 4 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →