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Steven Asplund v Guilherme Pat

MMA · Sunday 9 August, 12:00 am

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Fair market Steven Asplund $1.39 Guilherme Pat $3.58 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Steven AsplundGuilherme Pat MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $1.36-2.0% $3.55-0.8% 1.7% 82.5
2 Sportsbet $1.32-4.9% $3.41-4.7% 5.1% 60.6
3 TABtouch $1.32-4.9% $3.40-4.9% 5.2% 60.6
4 PointsBet $1.31-5.6% $3.50-2.2% 4.9% 52.5
5 Ladbrokes $1.33-4.2% $3.35-6.3% 5.0% 46.3
6 Bet Right $1.32-4.9% $3.40-4.9% 5.2% 31.9
7 Unibet $1.32-4.9% $3.40-4.9% 5.2% 19.4
8 Betr $1.31-5.6% $3.35-6.3% 6.2% 10.6
9 PlayUp $1.30-6.3% $3.40-4.9% 6.3% 0.0

Scores computed 8 Aug 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 9 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →