Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn Hawks
AFL · Friday 7 August, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Hawthorn Hawks $2.62
Brisbane Lions $1.62
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Hawthorn Hawks | Brisbane Lions | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAB | $2.50-4.4% | $1.55-4.3% | 4.5% | +9.9% Members | 72.5 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.54-2.9% | $1.58-2.4% | 2.7% | — | 70.8 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $2.48-5.2% | $1.54-4.9% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 61.7 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $2.50-4.4% | $1.52-6.1% | 5.8% | — | 38.3 |
| 5 | Bet Right | $2.48-5.2% | $1.54-4.9% | 5.3% | — | 20.0 |
| 6 | Neds | $2.50-4.4% | $1.52-6.1% | 5.8% | — | 16.7 |
| 7 | Betr | $2.45-6.3% | $1.51-6.7% | 7.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 31 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 7 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →