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Ben Fail v Craig O'Brien

BOXING · Saturday 1 August, 5:05 pm

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Fair market Draw $21.61 Craig O'Brien $7.79 Ben Fail $1.18 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie DrawCraig O'BrienBen Fail MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Bet Right $7.50-3.7% $1.09-7.9% 5.1% 64.2
2 TABtouch $19.00-12.1% $8.00+2.7% $1.11-6.2% 7.9% 55.8
3 Sportsbet $21.00-2.8% $7.25-6.9% $1.12-5.3% 7.8% 52.5
4 Unibet $19.00-12.1% $8.00+2.7% $1.11-6.2% 7.9% 32.5
5 PlayUp $6.25-19.8% $1.09-7.9% 7.7% 30.0
6 Betr $7.00-10.1% $1.08-8.7% 6.9% 26.7
7 Ladbrokes $21.00-2.8% $7.00-10.1% $1.10-7.0% 10.0% 18.3

Scores computed 30 Jul 10:22 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 7 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →